|
Kadar kesuburan mengikut umur: suatu perbandingan perbezaan ufuk ramalan
Item Type: Book Section
Editor:
Year: 00/00/2022
Abstract: Population ageing is facing by most countries today. This issues is influenced by factors such as increased life expectancy, migration and decreased fertility rates. The optimal fertility rate is 2.1 which means the average birth rate for a woman is able to replace herself and her partner. However, Malaysia has recorded a worrying situation since 2013 when the total fertility in the country was below 2.1, which is below the global fertility rate. A low fertility rate will increase the old-age dependency ratio and in turn affect the country’s economic growth. This study aims to analyze the pattern and forecast of fertility rates in Malaysia for the years 2001 to 2016 by using Lee-Carter model.
|
|
|